The ONLY thing Demonetisation Process has confirmed for me , is that Indian Governing Elites are amongst the worst in the World when it concerns implementation .
For that is when the roll-out on the messy , complex soil and waters has to be thought out in detail.
Process , Process , Process .
I
have always looked at the Socialist Vision of Centralized Authority
when Big Input-Output Tables are made and every raw-material and
finished product is accounted for , as the foundation of the Cybernetic
Big Brother Controlled Societies , which the many Big Data and Powerful
States and Corporations now desire .
The Marxist visionaries who imagined these Mathematical Utopias , also wanted colonies on Mars as far back as 1908 !
That
system failed miserably in Soviet Union and China recapitulated , very
smartly to become a new hybrid State and Politburo-Linked-Capitalist
State .
No
Babu sitting in a Planning Commission , or Neta lording over his
minions ever think or feels for the antyodaya , or last-woman , actually
not even for the "salariat" or those living on fixed salaries or wages .
And the real onground processes of their lives and work.
And
the System theory analysts or abstract social-scientists who think for
the Sarkaar are even worse , as they want the messy mixed-up reality to
be structured within their numbers !
In
the world all that you have going for you is your net-worth in assets ,
and in socialist inspired societies the political-bureaucratic "New
Class" as Milovan Djilas described them , with their Sarkari networks
and privileges .
In traditional societies we also have kin, caste , clan networks .
In India we have a "Chaat" of all three systems . Net-Worth , Sarkaari and Jati .
They
intersect in many different ways , now also including an Educational
and Media based power on the basis of your Degree or Public Success on
Access . You may not have Net-Worth like Ambani , Sarkaari Power like a
DM , Jati power like Mulayam Singh , but have public ear like Chetan
Bhagats and Anna Hazare for their different audiences.
Then
there has always been in India , the unique Swami/Baba/Sufi
Auliyas/Guru Power , that can rarely be inherited , and new ones emerge
in every generation . Aka Sadhguru, Sri Sri , Sathya Sai Baba ,
Ramakrishna Paramhansa , Kabir , Namdev , Salim Chishti , Nizamuddin
Auliya et al.
So in India we have these Five effective Elites . The Small Top.
Neta-Babu-Sarkaar
Dhanna-Seth
Jati-Pradhaan
Pothi and Public-ke-Dil ke Raja-Raani ,
Allah-Bhagwan-Ke-Bande
There are just below these elites the Professionals and the Skilled Ones . The Large Middle.
The
Armed Forces , the Engineers who run the systems , the Doctors , the
multiple skills needed to run an economy and a nation-state . From
karigars to supervisors , coaches to farmers . The artisans , the small
service providers .
Under them the Unskilled Ones . The Largest Bottom of the Pyramid.
Among all of the Five effective elites , the one with the least "Job-Security" is actually the Neta in the Sarkaari System .
Unlike Chinese Socialism , there are no guarantees of next 5 years again .
So
there can never be a vision beyond 5 years . And you need to do
quick-fix solutions , as elections are happening all the time , in
states or byes !
Where is the space and time to build teams that can think-plan-deliver-implement to last detail ?
Earlier
under the Nehru-Congress we were busy trying to be a mix of Soviet
Union and Europe , then later Japan and America after 1991 , now China
is the model .
Not a single Indian Sarkaar has ever imagined or envisioned an Indian Model .
Gandhi was limited by his Utopian Villages , but he was completed rooted in Indian reality.
The
Dhanna-Seths have a mixed record as many have tried indigenisation and
built businesses on local skills , our craft based Moradabad , Diamond,
Textiles , Leather , Jewelry , Crafts are some of the top export earners
and world class producers .
The 1990's and the Software , Pharma Dhanna-Seths has broken new grounds .
The
Jati-Pradhaan are rooted in India , but have done little innovation ,
and second-generation like Akhilesh Yadav in his early 40's is showing
much promise.
The
Pothi Elites or what I call the Padha-Likha are amongst the worst
offenders as they are mostly conditioned by their US and EU university
elites with below-zero imagination rooted in India . The Left is beyond
repair as they live and debate in non-existent histories which both
China , Russia , Cuba , Venezuela or Vietnam have wiped out.
And the Public Ke Dil ke Raja-Raani have again a mixed blessings like Anna Hazare and Arundhati Roys .
And
the final elites the Bhagwan and Allah ke Bande again are mixed with
Sadhguru and Sri Sri creating new innovative spaces for spirit and
community , along with Ramdev Baba like enterprise in Swadeshi (Even if
its not Organic or Pure !) .
So
in India the ones to really blame for all our messes is the Indian
Intellectual Classes along with the Political-Bureaucratic Classes at
the Top of the Pyramid Blame Allotment !
What
we need is an Indian imagination and vision , that looks around for
best-practise in similar realities and builds both ground-up and
inspires top-down , both engaging with each other .
I
only see possibility in few Dhanna-Seths , Public-Ke-Dil ke Raja Rani ,
Jati-Pradhans and Allah and Bhagwan ke Bande getting together and
working out the Process. Process.Process .
With nourishing and mentoring Professionals that understand the detailing .
Lets
for the moment leave out the majority of the Intellectual Classes and
Politician-Bureaucrats , unless the very very few among them , maybe 1%
are willing to realize their ultimate mediocrity and jump ship.
And
we all have to understand deeply , where all our so-called political,
economic concepts come from and what cultures, ideologies , idea and
process histories are embedded in them.
We
are now in the middle of The Great Churn , when everything of the last
few hundred years from Liberty, Equality, Fraternity to Development and
Progress is open to question with multiple social , economic ,
political, spiritual crises .
The last people to leave the thinking to, are the Ideologically-blinded- intellectuals and the Sarkaari Mediocrity .
In economics, an input–output model is
a quantitative economic technique that represents the interdependencies
between different branches of a national economy or different regional
economies.
The
model depicts inter-industry relationships within an economy, showing
how output from one industrial sector may become an input to another
industrial sector. In the inter-industry matrix, column entries
typically represent inputs to an industrial sector, while row entries
represent outputs from a given sector. This format therefore shows how
dependent each sector is on every other sector, both as a customer of
outputs from other sectors and as a supplier of inputs. Each column of
the input–output matrix shows the monetary value of inputs to each sector and each row represents the value of each sector's outputs.
Alexander Bogdanov has been credited with originating the concept in a report delivered to the All Russia Conference on the Scientific Organisation of Labour and Production Processes, in January 1921.This
approach was also developed by L. N. Kritsman and T. F. Remington has
argued that their work provided a link between Quesnay's tableau
économique and the subsequent contributions by Vladimir Groman and Vladimir Bazarov to Gosplan's method of material balance planning.
The input-output model is one of the major conceptual models for a socialist planned economy.
This model involves the direct determination of physical quantities to
be produced in each industry, which is used to formulate a consistent
economic plan of resource allocation. This method of planning is
contrasted with price-directed Lange-model socialism and Soviet-style material balance planning.
In the economy of the Soviet Union,
planning was conducted using the method of material balances up until
the country's dissolution. The method of material balances was first
developed in the 1930s during the Soviet Union's rapid industrialization
drive. Input-output planning was never adopted because the material
balance system had become entrenched in the Soviet economy, and
input-output planning was shunned for ideological reasons. As a result,
the benefits of consistent and detailed planning through input-output
analysis was never realized in the Soviet-type economies.
Despite
the clear ability of the input-output model to depict and analyze the
dependence of one industry or sector on another, Leontief and others
never managed to introduce the full spectrum of dependency relations in a
market economy.
Wassily Leontief (1906–1999) is credited with developing this type of analysis and earned the Nobel Prize in Economics for his development of this model.
Wassily Wassilyevich Leontief (Russian: Васи́лий Васи́льевич Лео́нтьев; August 5, 1906 – February 5, 1999), was an American economist of half Russian-Jewish descent notable for his research on how changes in one economic sector may affect other sectors. Leontief won the Nobel Committee's Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1973, and three of his doctoral students have also been awarded the prize (Paul Samuelson 1970, Robert Solow 1987, Vernon L. Smith 2002).
Leontief
earned the Nobel Prize in economics for his work on input-output
tables. Input-output tables analyze the process by which inputs from one
industry produce outputs for consumption or for inputs for another
industry. With the input-output table, one can estimate the change in
demand for inputs resulting from a change in production of the final
good. The analysis assumes that input proportions are fixed; thus the
use of input-output analysis is limited to rough approximations rather
than prediction. Input-output was novel and inspired large-scale
empirical work; in 2010 its iterative method was recognized as an early
intellectual precursor to Google's PageRank.
François Quesnay (French: [fʁɑ̃swa kɛnɛ]; June 4, 1694 – December 16, 1774) was a French economist of the Physiocratic school. He is known for publishing the "Tableau économique" (Economic Table) in 1758, which provided the foundations of the ideas of the Physiocrats.
This
was perhaps the first work attempting to describe the workings of the
economy in an analytical way, and as such can be viewed as one of the
first important contributions to economic thought. His Le Despotisme de la Chine, written in 1767, describes Chinese politics and society, and his own political support for constitutional Oriental despotism.
Quesnay is known for his writings on Chinese politics and society. His book Le Despotisme de la Chine, written in 1767, describes his views of the Chinese imperial system.
He
was supportive of the meritocratic concept of giving scholars political
power, without the cumbersome aristocracy that characterized French
politics, and the importance of agriculture to the welfare of a nation.
The phrase laissez-faire, coined by fellow Physiocrat Vincent de Gournay, is postulated to have come from Quesnay's writings on China.
Gregory
Blue writes that Quesnay "praised China as a constitutional despotism
and openly advocated the adoption of Chinese institutions, including a
standardized system of taxation and universal education."
Blue speculates that this may have influenced the 1793 establishment of the Permanent Settlement in Bengal by the British Empire.Quesnay's interests in Orientalism has also been a source of criticism. Carol Blum, in her book Strength in Numbers on 18th century France, labels Quesnay an "apologist for Oriental despotism."
The State Planning Committee, commonly known as Gosplan (Russian: Госпла́н, pronounced [ɡɐsˈplan]), was the agency responsible for central economic planning in the Soviet Union. Established in 1921 and remaining in existence until the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, Gosplan had as its main task the creation and administration of a series of five-year plans governing the economy of the USSR.
Alexander Aleksandrovich Bogdanov (Russian: Алекса́ндр Алекса́ндрович Богда́нов; born Alyaksandr Malinovsky, Belarusian: Алякса́ ндр Алякса́ндравіч Маліно́ўскі) (22 August 1873 [O.S. 10 August] – 7 April 1928) was a Russian and Soviet physician, philosopher, science fiction writer, and revolutionary of Belarusia n ethnicity.
He was a key figure in the early history of the Bolshevik faction of the Russian Social Democratic Labor Party, being one of its co-founders and a rival to Vladimir Lenin until being expelled in 1909. In the first decade of the Soviet Union, he was an influential opponent of the government from a Marxist perspective. Bogdanov received training in medicine and psychiatry.
His scientific interests ranged from the universal systems theory to the possibility of human rejuvenation through blo od transfusion. He invented an original philosophy called “tectology,” now regarded as a forerunner of systems theory. He was also an economist, culture theorist, science fiction writer, and political activist.
In 1908, Bogdanov published the novel Red Star, about a utopia set on Mars. In it, he made predictions about future scientific and social developments. His utopia also dealt with feminist themes,
which would become more common in later utopian science fiction, e.g.,
the two sexes becoming virtually identical in the future, or women
escaping "domestic slavery" (one reason for physical changes) and being
free to pursue relationships with the same freedom as men, without
stigma. Other notable differences between the utopia of Red Star and
present day society include workers having total control over their
working hours, as well as more subtle differences in social behavior
such as conversations being patiently "set at the level of the person
with whom they were speaking and with understanding for his personality
although it might very much differ from their own". The novel also gave a
detailed description of blood transfusion in the Martian society.
From 1913 until 1922, Bogdanov immersed himself in the writing of a lengthy philosophical treatise of original ideas, Tectology: Universal Organization Science. Tectology anticipated many basic ideas of Systems Analysis, later explored by Cybernetics and Bogdanov attributed some of his ideas on the development of a monistic system to Ludwig Noire.
In Tectology,
Bogdanov proposed to unify all social, biological, and physical
sciences by considering them as systems of relationships and by seeking
the organizational principles that underlie all systems. His three
volume book anticipated many ideas later popularized by Norbert Wiener in Cybernetics and Ludw ig von Bertalanffy in General Systems Theory.
Both Wiener and von Bertalanffy may have read the German translation of Tectology, published in 1928. In Russia, Vladimir Lenin (and later Joseph Stalin) considered Bogdanov's natural philosophy an ideological threat to dialectic materialism. The rediscovery of Tectology occurred only in the 1970s.
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